Classical Bullish Divergence vs Classical Bearish Divergence

In indices trading, classic divergence is used as a possible sign for a indices trend reversal and is used by indices traders when looking for an area where stock indices price could reverse and start going in the opposite direction. For this reason this stock indices trading setup is used as a low risk entry method and also as an accurate way of exit out of a indices trade.

This trading strategy is a low risk method to sell near the top or buy near the bottom, this makes the risk on your trades are very small relative to the potential reward. However, this is one method with very many whipsaws and most traders do not recommend using it.

Divergence in Trading is also used to predict the optimum point at which to exit a trade. If you already have an open trade that is already profitable, a good way to spot a profit taking level would be the point where you spot this indices trading setup.

There are two types, based on the direction of the Indices trend:

1. Classic Bullish divergence
2. Classic Bearish divergence

Indices Trading Classic Bullish Divergence

Classic bullish divergence setup occurs when stock indices price is making lower lows (LL), but the oscillator is making higher lows (HL). The example explained and illustrated below shows a picture of this indices trading setup.

Indices Trading Classic Bullish Divergence

This example uses MACD indicator as a Indices divergence indicator.

From the above example the stock indices price made a lower low(LL) but the indicator made a higher low(HL), this shows there is a divergence between the stock indices price and the indicator. This signal warns of a possible indices trend reversal.

Classic bullish diverging signal warns of a possible change in the indices trend from down to up. This is because even though the stock indices price went lower the volume of sellers that pushed the stock indices price lower was less as illustrated by the MACD technical indicator. This indicates underlying weakness of the downward Indices trend.

Classic bearish divergence

Classic bearish divergence setup occurs when stock indices price is making a higher high (HH), but the oscillator is lower high (LH). The image below shows an example of the setup.

Indices Trading Classic Bearish Divergence

This example also uses MACD indicator

From the above example the stock indices price made a higher high(HH) but the indicator made a Lower High(LH), this shows there is a divergence between the stock indices price and the indicator. This signal warns of a possible indices trend reversal.

Classic bearish diverging signal warns of a possible change in the indices trend from up to down. This is because even though the stock indices price went higher the volume of buyers that pushed the stock indices price higher was less as illustrated by the MACD indicator. This indicates underlying weakness of the upward Indices trend.

In the above examples, if you had used divergence to trade you would have gotten good trading signals to enter or exit the trades at an optimal point. However, divergence trading signals just like other trading indicators, is also prone to whipsaws. That is why it's always good to confirm the diverging trading signals with other technical indicators such as the RSI, Moving Averages and Stochastic Oscillator.

A good indicator to combine classic diverging setups is the stochastic oscillator and wait for the stochastic lines to move in the direction of the divergence signal so as to confirm the trading signal.

Another good indicator to combine with is the moving average indicator, in this indicator a indices trader should use the Moving Average Crossover System

Example of Moving Average Crossover Method Strategy

Once the divergence signal is given, a indices trader will then wait for the Moving average crossover system to give a trading signal in the same direction, if there is a classic bullish setup, a indices trader will wait for the moving average system to give an upward crossover signal, while for a bearish classic divergence signal the indices trader should wait for the Moving average crossover system to give a downward bearish crossover trading signal.

By combining the classic divergence trading signals with other technical indicators this way, a indices trader will be able to avoid whipsaws when it comes to trading the classic diverging signals, because the indices trader will wait until the stock indices trading market has actually reversed and is already moving towards this direction, hence the indices trader will not fall into the trap of picking market tops and bottoms.