Hidden Bullish and Indices Trading Hidden Bearish Divergence Indices Trading
Hidden divergence is used as a possible sign for a indices trend continuation after the stock indices price has retraced. It is a signal that the original indices trend is resuming. This is the best setup to trade because it is in the same direction as that of the continuing market trend.
Indices Trading Hidden Bullish Divergence
This setup happens when stock indices price is making a higher low (HL), but the oscillator (indicator) is showing a lower low (LL). To remember them easily think of them as W-shapes on Chart patterns. It occurs when there is a retracement in an upward Indices trend.
The example explained and illustrated below shows an image of this indices trading setup, from the screenshot the stock indices price made a higher low (HL) but the indicator made a lower low (LL), this shows that there was a diverging signal between the stock indices price and indicator. This signal shows that soon the stock indices trading market up indices trend is going to resume. In other words it shows this was just a retracement in an upward indices trend.
This confirms that a retracement move is complete and indicates underlying strength of an upward indices trend.
Indices Trading Hidden Bearish Divergence
This setup happens when stock indices price is making a lower high (LH), but the oscillator is showing a higher high (HH). To remember them easily think of them as M-shapes on Chart patterns. It occurs when there is a retracement in a downward Indices trend.
The example explained and illustrated below shows an image of this indices trading setup, from the screenshot the stock indices price made a lower high (LH) but the indicator made a higher high (HH), this shows that there was a divergence between the stock indices price and the indicator. This shows that soon the stock indices trading market down indices trend is going to resume. In other words it shows this was just a retracement in a downward trend.
This confirms that a retracement move is complete and indicates underlying strength of a downward indices trend.
Other popular indicators used are CCI indicator (CCI), Stochastic Oscillator, RSI and MACD. MACD and RSI are the best indicators.
NB: Hidden divergence is the best type to trade because it gives a signal that is in the same direction with the current market trend, thus it has a high reward to risk ratio. It provides for the best possible entry.
However, a indices trader should combine this stock indices trading setup with another indicator like the stochastic oscillator or moving average and buy when indices is oversold, and sell when indices is overbought.
Combining Hidden Divergence with Moving Average Crossover Method
A good indicator to combine these indices trading setups is the moving average indicator using the moving average crossover method. This will create a good trading strategy.
Moving Average Crossover Method
In this strategy, once the signal is given, a indices trader will then wait for the moving average crossover method to give a buy/sell stock indices signal in the same direction, if there is a bullish divergence setup between the stock indices price and indicator, wait for the moving average crossover system to give an upward crossover signal, while for a bearish diverging setup wait for the moving average crossover system to give a downward bearish crossover signal.
By combining this stock indices signal with other indicators this way one will avoid whipsaws when it comes to trading this indices signal.
Combining with Fibonacci Retracement Levels
For this example we shall use an upward market trend. We shall use the MACD indicator.
Because the hidden divergence is just a retracement in an upward indices trend we can combine this stock indices signal with the most popular retracement tool that is the Fibonacci retracement levels. The example explained and illustrated below shows that when this stock indices trading setup appeared on the chart, the stock indices price had just hit the 38.2% level. When stock indices price tested this level, this would have been a good level to place a buy order.
Combining with Fibonacci Expansion Levels
In the stock indices trading example above once the buy indices trade was placed, a indices trader would then need to calculate where to take profit for this trade. To do this one would need to use the Fibonacci Expansion Levels.
The Fibonacci expansion was drawn as shown on the chart as shown below.
For this example there were three take profit levels:
Expansion Level 61.8% - 131 pips profit
Expansion Level 100.0% - 212 pips profit
Expansion Level 161.8% - 337 pips profit
From this strategy combined with Fibonacci would have provided a good strategy with a good amount of profit set using these take profit levels.